Extensive New Battleground Polling Shows Biden Gaining Ground

Posted by Martina Birk on Saturday, August 31, 2024

This data is a preview of what Morning Consult Political Intelligence subscribers have access to. To inquire about gaining access to daily updates to this data, as well as data on senate races, house races, global leader approval and more, please fill out the form at the bottom of the page. 

Correction: An earlier graphic in this post incorrectly stated the current net margins in Georgia and Virginia. It has been updated to accurately reflect Biden +1 and +10 respectively.

METHODOLOGY

Political Intelligence is Morning Consult’s proprietary platform that provides real-time polling data on political elections, elected officials and voting issues. Political Intelligence conducts daily interviews with a representative sample of over 5,000 registered voters and 4,400 likely voters in the United States via stratified sampling based on age, gender, and language (english/hispanic).

This daily sample is weighted based on age, education, ethnicity, gender, geographic region, home ownership, marital status, population density, and 2016 presidential vote history. For results on the state level, Morning Consult weights each state separately based on age, gender, education, race, home ownership, marital status, population density, presidential vote history, and — for a subset of states — race by education as well as an age by gender interaction. 

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